SFB 303 Discussion Paper No. B - 20

Author: Krelle, W., R. Dobrinsky, J. B. Gajda, H. Rose, I. Székely and H. Welsch
Title: Economic Structural Change and Long-Term Fluctuations in Economic Growth
Abstract: The last decade was and the next decade will still be periods of substantial structural economic change: newly industrialized nations emerged, East Asia became one of the leading economic centers, new products and new production technologies appeared, energy and environmental problems came to the fore and unemployment and short and long term cycles were much in evidence. Thus IIASA decided to look into the problems of structural change and long-term fluctuations. Since February of this year a joint Bonn-IIASA Research Group has been established at Bonn University which - in collaboration with research groups in the most important industrialized countries - should analyse and forecast economic structural change on the world level. This paper outlines the theoretical background and the special approach of the Bonn-IIASA Research Project and shows how under these conditions long-term fluctuations may arise . In the second part of the paper some preliminary results of the Bonn-IIASA Research Project are presented.
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Creation-Date: 1985
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